Will IMD's prediction hold true for monsoon this time?
02:05, Apr 23, 2017
Copyright 2015 All rights reserved. This material can't be published, transferred, copied or redistributed.
Last year's monsoon was above average in much of the country, bringing relief to millions of rural farmers reeling from two years of drought.
The IMD said the monsoon seasonal rainfall is likely to be 96% of the Long Period Average (LPA) in the current year. Yet, Imd issues another updated forecast in June.
Meanwhile, Icra in a report said the timing of rainfall will be crucial as higher rainfall in the early part of the monsoon may support sowing while adequate rainfalls in the second half is important for yields. Interestingly, Skymet, a private weather forecasting agency, has predicted a "below normal rainfall" this year, with western India likely to experience a shortfall.
It will be the second consecutive year with normal rain after India suffered back-to-back drought in 2014-15, only the fourth consecutive failed monsoons in over a century that hurt incomes and drove many farmers to suicide. Rainfall of 104-110 per cent of the LPA is "above normal". IMD, however, said weak EL Nino and positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are now combining to give a positive monsoon scenario for India in 2017, explained the Ecoflash.
A strong El Nino phenomenon causes sea temperatures to rise significantly, and has adverse effects on marine and aquatic life, agriculture and the quality of water supplies.
"There is an uncertainty, as probability of moderate El Nino in August has reduced". The long period average refers to a 50-year average of 89 cm rainfall for the entire four-month season beginning June.
However, rainfall may be somewhat deficient in the northeast and parts of south India.
"Last year, IMD had forecast above normal rainfall, but it turned out to be worst-ever deficit rainfall".
The forecasts for 2017 were based on state of the art Statistical Ensemble Forecasting System (SEFS) and dynamical global climate forecasting system (CFS) that was developed under the monsoon mission.
The El Nino, which refers to an unusual warming of the sea surface in the Pacific Ocean, is known to impact weather events worldwide and, in India, is associated with a suppressed rainfall during the monsoon season. The event occurs when the equatorial Pacific surface warms and touches off a reaction in the atmosphere above it. However, there is no one to one relationship between El Nino and Indian Monsoon.
Southwest monsoon accounts for 75-80 percent of the total rainfall in the country and is the mainstay of Kharif crop.
A normal monsoon will help GDP growth and will also ease food inflation. By that time, more information on the evolution of El Nino and IOD will be available.
The Wizards finished the season as one of the league's hottest teams and have not slowed down in the postseason. It's fitting that the Wizards played "Ether" over the PA late in the fourth quarter of this game .
Kendrick Lamar has unleashed a musical attack on everything from Fox News to Donald Trump in his hard-hitting new album. To hear a portion of the song "Yah" from the album, click the audio player above .
The 2017 season will include the broadcast of three preseason games-against the Dallas Cowboys, Oakland Raiders and Green Packers. The Super Bowl rematch between the Falcons and the Patriots is set for Week 7 , falling on October 22 at Gillette Stadium.
Zetterberg put Detroit up 3-0 midway through the second period following Sheahan's and Tomas Tatar's goals in the first. The starting assignment for Sunday likely falls to Curtis McElhinney, who filled in Saturday and made key saves.
According to a PEOPLE.com source, the 35 year-old was invited to Pippa Middleton's wedding to financier James Matthews on May 20. Markle joined Harry shortly after the wedding at his Nottingham cottage before she returned to Canada at the end of the March.
In the game's first six minutes, Paul twice found soft spots for jumpers and twice found Jordan for lobs over the top. Joe Johnson , whose floater at the buzzer gave them a two-point win in Game 1 , added 13 points off the bench.
The visas are doled out through a lottery system, and there are usually about three times as many applicants as there are visas. The H-1B visa program paves the way for the majority of highly-skilled workers from other countries to work in the U.S.
Alex Jones' risky rants are apparently all for show. "The children are there, watching him broadcast", she said. In December 2015, Trump phoned in to the Alex Jones Show for a 30-minute interview. "I will not let you down".
The capsule will be carried on a Russian Soyuz rocket, set to launch from Baikonur , Kazakhstan, early on Thursday morning. Like their official patch, Fischer and Yurchikhin's unofficial patch also borrows from USA and Russian space history.
Last year, Fox brought back The X-Files for an extremely short revival miniseries that left the fate of Fox Mulder up in the air. Filming for the upcoming series will begin in summer 2017 and the show is expected to air sometime in late 2017 or early 2018.
The swearing-in ceremony of the 49-year-old justice was held in the Rose Garden of the White House, during which U.S. The 66-day confirmation process divided Congress in a way that hadn't been done before.
Unemployment rates fall to record lows in 4 US states
The United States' jobless rate declined two-tenths of a percentage point, from 4.7 percent in February to 4.5 percent in March. When the EDD adjusted for those seasonal factors, the number of payroll jobs in the county actually fell by 9,000 in March.
London attacker had worked in Saudi Arabia teaching English
At 52, his age has been highlighted by commentators as unusual, with most Islamist extremists behind similar attacks far younger. The 52-year-old attacker was born in southeastern England and had most recently been living in the central city of Birmingham .
North Korea flaunts long-range missiles in massive parade
Weapons analysts said they believed some of the missiles on display were new types of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM). The deployment is created to show that the USA could shoot down any missiles that North Korea may fire.
HSBC Reiterated Barclays PLC (LON:BARC) As 'Buy'
After $-0.11 actual EPS reported by Ardmore Shipping Corp for the previous quarter, Wall Street now forecasts 0.00% EPS growth. Eight equities research analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating and one has assigned a buy rating to the company.
Lady Gaga talks mental health with Prince William
It opens up the channels of communication allowing "people from all walks of life discussing their own mental health challenges". William's brother, Prince Harry, was also recently praised for speaking about how his mother's death impacted his mental health.
Aircraft carrier group wasn't near Korean peninsula
The US Navy said on 8 April that Carl Vinson strike group was headed towards the Korean peninsula, as a deterrence measure. The American vice president is on a 10-day trip to Asia that has been dominated by the North Korea issue.
Google Earth gets revamped with massive update
You can access these features and try it by yourself by downloading the latest Google Maps version 4.30.0 from the App Store . Beyond learning more about the location you're now looking at, you can also use Knowledge Cards to find related places.
Google To Pay Russia $7.8 million To Settle Android Case
Under the settlement, Google can not stop smartphone makers from pre-installing competing search engine apps on their devices. Users will be able to change settings at any time and choose the default search engine which suits their needs.
Honda Clarity EV 3-in-1 a first in automotive innovation
But the numbers are that impressive, as the total range is only 330 miles (42 electric), about the same as some modern EVs. The Clarity Electric will launch later this year, starting with an attractive lease program in California and Oregon.